Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000488 0.000529 0.000573 0.000621 0.000673 0.000728 0.000790
2026-02-08 0.000420 0.000477 0.000539 0.000611 0.000693 0.000782 0.000888
2026-02-15 0.000373 0.000439 0.000513 0.000603 0.000709 0.000829 0.000977
2026-02-22 0.000336 0.000408 0.000492 0.000597 0.000723 0.000871 0.001059
2026-03-01 0.000307 0.000383 0.000474 0.000591 0.000735 0.000910 0.001136
2026-03-08 0.000280 0.000359 0.000454 0.000580 0.000739 0.000937 0.001198
2026-03-15 0.000258 0.000338 0.000438 0.000571 0.000745 0.000964 0.001261
2026-03-22 0.000237 0.000316 0.000418 0.000556 0.000741 0.000977 0.001305
2026-03-29 0.000220 0.000300 0.000404 0.000548 0.000743 0.000999 0.001360
2026-04-05 0.000207 0.000288 0.000394 0.000545 0.000753 0.001030 0.001428
2026-04-12 0.000197 0.000279 0.000388 0.000546 0.000767 0.001067 0.001504
2026-04-19 0.000187 0.000269 0.000380 0.000543 0.000775 0.001095 0.001570
2026-04-26 0.000174 0.000255 0.000367 0.000533 0.000775 0.001115 0.001627
2026-05-03 0.000163 0.000242 0.000355 0.000526 0.000778 0.001138 0.001690
2026-05-10 0.000153 0.000232 0.000345 0.000519 0.000782 0.001163 0.001758
2026-05-17 0.000144 0.000222 0.000336 0.000514 0.000786 0.001188 0.001826
2026-05-24 0.000136 0.000213 0.000327 0.000509 0.000791 0.001213 0.001895
2026-05-31 0.000127 0.000203 0.000316 0.000499 0.000788 0.001227 0.001947
2026-06-07 0.000120 0.000194 0.000307 0.000492 0.000788 0.001245 0.002005
2026-06-14 0.000112 0.000183 0.000294 0.000479 0.000779 0.001248 0.002039
2026-06-21 0.000106 0.000176 0.000286 0.000472 0.000778 0.001263 0.002093
2026-06-28 0.000101 0.000170 0.000281 0.000469 0.000784 0.001291 0.002168
2026-07-05 0.000097 0.000166 0.000277 0.000470 0.000796 0.001327 0.002260